In the last decade, India has made a name for itself as a tech
player. But that reputation, however well-deserved, belies important
limitations—and these are having a big effect on the development of online
commerce.
For a start, Internet penetration is still very low, with only 8.4
percent of the population online. Then there is India's great size,
unpredictable logistics and creaky transport. Bricks-and-mortar retailers, many
of whom have cultivated rich and long-lasting relationships with their
customers, offer tough competition. And finally, 90 percent of all retail
transactions are conducted in cash; online works best with plastic or
electronic money. No wonder, then, that e-commerce accounts for less 1 percent
of total retail sales (compared to more than 4 percent in Brazil).
And yet… the opportunity is just too alluring to ignore. 80
percent of current Internet users say they are planning to shop online in the
near future, for reasons as varied as convenience and privacy (for items like
lingerie). Moreover, India’s online retailers are making progress. The
e-commerce market has grown an average of 34 percent a year since 2005 and will
continue to grow briskly for the foreseeable future, reaching $2 billion in
sales by 2015. By then, it is estimated that India will have 38 million active
online shoppers.
In a country of 1.3 billion people, that is still a drop in the
bucket. But by any standard, 38 million is an appetizingly big drop. Money is
talking, too: In 2011, investors poured $305 million into Indian e-commerce.
SHARUKH PATHAN
C2M
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